Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.820175 1.900960 1.984140 2.076371 2.175996 2.280607 2.399076
2025-12-21 1.692183 1.807612 1.931100 2.073761 2.234948 2.412532 2.624527
2025-12-28 1.611729 1.753889 1.910908 2.098814 2.319768 2.574193 2.893642
2026-01-04 1.513593 1.670409 1.847909 2.066296 2.331507 2.648336 3.063861
2026-01-11 1.454270 1.625581 1.823897 2.074319 2.387995 2.776574 3.309373
2026-01-18 1.411889 1.596566 1.814790 2.097101 2.461300 2.928767 3.599224
2026-01-25 1.357126 1.548599 1.778553 2.081872 2.482729 3.012793 3.803197
2026-02-01 1.299752 1.493943 1.730232 2.046899 2.473878 3.052922 3.946156
2026-02-08 1.232565 1.423845 1.658717 1.977012 2.412345 3.013576 3.964531
2026-02-15 1.187426 1.379355 1.617420 1.944109 2.398213 3.038678 4.081924
2026-02-22 1.154987 1.349436 1.593182 1.932100 2.411393 3.102911 4.266573
2026-03-01 1.121362 1.316570 1.563472 1.910684 2.409114 3.142798 4.414213
2026-03-08 1.075735 1.268788 1.515026 1.865032 2.374721 3.139708 4.504522
2026-03-15 1.051749 1.248495 1.502445 1.868967 2.413861 3.255391 4.824160
2026-03-22 1.036777 1.239413 1.504413 1.893447 2.485516 3.430646 5.287767
2026-03-29 1.005087 1.206877 1.472971 1.867893 2.478139 3.473865 5.502133
2026-04-05 0.986972 1.191818 1.464811 1.875691 2.523295 3.611110 5.938696
2026-04-12 0.974027 1.183151 1.464967 1.895506 2.588777 3.791256 6.513565
2026-04-19 0.951595 1.160657 1.444590 1.882950 2.599685 3.872240 6.878511
2026-04-26 0.925261 1.131942 1.414252 1.853519 2.579998 3.892925 7.099311
2026-05-03 0.891170 1.091581 1.365971 1.794288 2.506021 3.801867 7.011536
2026-05-10 0.868185 1.066121 1.338433 1.766328 2.484378 3.812123 7.200829
2026-05-17 0.851646 1.049206 1.322690 1.756120 2.492815 3.883133 7.578261